Predictive Processing Model

To deal rapidly and fluently with an uncertain and noisy world, brains like ours have become masters of prediction – surfing the waves and noisy and ambiguous sensory stimulation by, in effect, trying to stay just ahead of them. A skilled surfer stays ‘in the pocket’: close to, yet just ahead of the place where the wave is breaking. This provides power and, when the wave breaks, it does not catch her. The brain’s task is not dissimilar. By constantly attempting to predict the incoming sensory signal we become able – in ways we shall soon explore in detail – to learn about the world around us and to engage that world in thought and action.

– Andy Clark

• perception is "controlled hallucination” caused by the top-down drivers of perception constrained by bottom-up evidence.

• if catching a good error reducing slope makes us feel good then the question is where do we find slopes, the answer is always going to be at the edge of your ability – person.mark-miller

• Why we need a new theory of the body (hint, predictive processing is wrong)

Bayes Theorem

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes%27_theorem
• https://arbital.com/p/bayes_rule/?l=1zq
  • https://www.yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes

Links

• Book review on: Surfing uncertainty
• • https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/17540739211063851
• https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_coding
• Jake Orthwein auf X: „Basically this is a predictive processing account of depersonalization: the system loses confidence in the self as a result of cascading unabsorbable errors, which in turn disconnects it from crucial signals of meaning And this just IS the current crisis of political authority“ / X